NOMINAL ALMASHUV KURSI QADRSIZLANISHINING IQTISODIY O‘SISHGA TA’SIRI: O‘ZBEKISTON TAJRIBASI ASOSIDA ILMIY-TAHLILIY YONDASHUV
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20314925Keywords:
nominal almashuv kursi, devalvatsiya, iqtisodiy o‘sish, inflyatsiya, real YAIM, xalqaro investitsion mavqe, valyuta riski, pul-kredit siyosati, bank barqarorligi.Abstract
Ushbu maqolada nominal almashuv kursi qadrsizlanishining iqtisodiy o‘sishga ta’siri O‘zbekiston tajribasi
asosida ilmiy-nazariy va amaliy jihatdan tahlil qilinadi. Tadqiqotda valyuta bozorining liberallashtirilishidan avvalgi va
keyingi davrlar qiyosiy baholanib, devalvatsiya shokining real YAIM o‘sishi, inflyatsiya, real samarali almashuv kursi
hamda tashqi moliyaviy barqarorlikka ta’sir kanallari ochib berilgan. Maqolada devalvatsiyaning qisqa muddatli eksport
raqobatbardoshligini oshirish ehtimoli mavjud bo‘lsa-da, import inflyatsiyasi, ishlab chiqarish tannarxining qimmatlashishi,
tashqi qarz yuki va ichki talabning susayishi orqali iqtisodiy o‘sishga salbiy ta’sir ko‘rsatishi asoslangan. Shuningdek,
tijorat banklari faoliyatida valyuta riski, ochiq valyuta pozitsiyasi, kredit portfeli sifati va mijozlarning qarzni qaytarish
qobiliyatini baholash masalalariga alohida e’tibor qaratilgan
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