NEW HORIZONS FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH IN UZBEKISTAN IN THE CONTEXT OF WTO ACCESSION
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23277028Abstract
Maqolada O‘zbekistonning Jahon savdo tashkilotiga (JST) istiqboldagi a’zoligining iqtisodiy o‘sish manbalari, tarkibi va sifatiga potensial ta’siri tahlil qilinadi. 2016–2026-yillarni qamrab oluvchi rasmiy statistik ma’lumotlar va modellashtirish asosidagi baholash natijalariga tayangan holda, mamlakat iqtisodiyotining yuqori o‘sish sur’atlari, jumladan, 2025-yilda qayd etilgan 7,7 foizlik o‘sish ko‘rsatkichi yoritiladi. Shu bilan birga, unumdorlikka asoslangan rivojlanishni kuchaytirish, eksport tarkibini diversifikatsiya qilish va xususiy sektor ishtirokini kengaytirish imkoniyatlari aniqlanadi. Korxonalarning qariyb 6 foizi eksport faoliyati bilan shug‘ullanadi, umumiy eksport tarkibida esa oltin salmoqli ulushga ega. Modellashtirish natijalariga ko‘ra, faqat bojxona tariflarini liberallashtirish hisobiga har yili yalpi ichki mahsulotning (YaIM) 0,5 foizidan kam miqdorida iqtisodiy samara olinishi mumkin. Xizmatlar sohasini liberallashtirish va investitsiyalarning javob ta’sirini qamrab oluvchi kengroq islohotlar ssenariylarida esa uzoq muddatda YaIMning 9–17 foizga oshishi ehtimoli baholanadi. Tadqiqot natijalari JSTga a’zolik unumdorlikka asoslangan iqtisodiy o‘sish modeliga o‘tishni jadallashtiruvchi institutsional majburiyat mexanizmi sifatida xizmat qilishi mumkinligini ko‘rsatadi. Ushbu imkoniyatlardan samarali foydalanish davlat korxonalari va bank sektori faoliyati samaradorligini oshirish, xalqaro savdo jarayonlarini soddalashtirish, mehnat resurslarining kasbiy malakasini rivojlantirish hamda tarkibiy iqtisodiy o‘zgarishlar ta’sirida bandligi o‘zgaradigan xodimlarni qo‘llab-quvvatlashga qaratilgan qo‘shimcha islohotlarga bog‘liq.Keywords
O‘zbekiston, JSTga a’zolik, iqtisodiy o‘sish, omillarning umumiy unumdorligi, xizmatlar sohasini liberallashtirish, to‘g‘ridan-to‘g‘ri xorijiy investitsiyalar, Markaziy OsiyoReferences
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