Turizm sohasini ekonometrik modellashtirishda qo‘llaniladigan ekonometrik usullar va amaliy imkoniyatlar
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17215089Keywords:
turizm, ekonometrik modellashtirish, vaqtli qator, regressiya, kointegratsiya, panel ma’lumot, prognozlash, barqaror rivojlanish, Samarqand, turistik oqimlarAbstract
Ushbu maqolada turizm sohasining zamonaviy global iqtisodiyotdagi o‘rni, uning iqtisodiy o‘sishga ta’siri
hamda barqaror rivojlanishini ta’minlashda ekonometrik modellashtirishning ahamiyati yoritilgan. Turizmni ekonometrik
modellashtirish bo‘yicha prognozlash, o‘zaro ta’sirni aniqlash, tashqi omillar ta’siri tahlil etish, hududlararo farqlarni
o‘rganish yo‘nalishlaridan keng foydalanilgan. Samarqand viloyati misolida 2016–2025 yillardagi xorijiy turistlar oqimi
dinamikasi o‘rganilib, pandemiya ta’siri va tiklanish tendensiyalari aniqlangan. Natijalar turizm oqimlari va makroiqtisodiy
ko‘rsatkichlar o‘rtasida ijobiy o‘zaro bog‘liqlik mavjudligini tasdiqladi. Maqola yakunida turizmni barqaror rivojlantirish,
infratuzilmani modernizatsiya qilish, marketing siyosatini kuchaytirish va ilmiy innovatsiyalarni tatbiq etish bo‘yicha amaliy
takliflar ishlab chiqilgan.
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