O‘ZBEKISTONDA MONETAR SIYOSAT VA SAVDO BALANSI O‘RTASIDAGI BOG‘LIQLIKNI EMPIRIK TAHLILI
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18198100Keywords:
monetar siyosat; savdo balansi; valyuta kursi; foiz stavkasi; pul massasi; empirik tahlilAbstract
Mazkur maqolada O‘zbekistonda monetar siyosat va savdo balansi o‘rtasidagi bog‘liqlik empirik jihatdan
tahlil qilinadi. Tadqiqot doirasida asosiy foiz stavkasi, pul massasi va valyuta kursi kabi monetar siyosat instrumentlarining
eksport, import hamda savdo balansi dinamikasiga ta’siri VAR va ARDL modellaridan foydalangan holda baholanadi.
Empirik natijalar monetar siyosat instrumentlarining savdo balansiga qisqa va o‘rta muddatlarda turlicha ta’sir ko‘rsatishini
aniqladi. Xususan, valyuta kursi kanali savdo balansini shakllantirishda eng muhim uzatish mexanizmi sifatida namoyon
bo‘lib, monetar siyosatning muvofiqlashtirilgan qo‘llanilishi tashqi iqtisodiy muvozanatni ta’minlashda muhim ahamiyat
kasb etishi asoslab berildi
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