Global energiya noaniqligining o‘zgaruvchanligi ekonomertik modellari
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15493771Keywords:
energetika sohasi, globallashuv, o‘zgaruvchanlik, energiya noaniqligi, ekonometrik modellarAbstract
Energiya bozorlaridagi tebranishlar butun iqtisodiy faoliyatga sezilarli ta’sir ko‘rsatadi. Ushbu tadqiqot 1996–
2021–yillar oralig‘idagi ma’lumotlar asosida EUI ko‘rsatkichlaridan foydalangan holda global energiya noaniqligini ARCH
va GARCH modellari yordamida tahlil qiladi. Olingan natijalar global energiya noaniqligi yuqori darajada ekanini tasdiqlaydi
(koeffitsiyent 0,63). Siyosiy tavsiya sifatida, qayta tiklanuvchi energiya manbalarini rivojlantirish taklif etiladi, chunki bunday
manbalar energiyaga qaramlikni kamaytiradi va noaniqlik darajasini pasaytiradi. Bu yo‘nalish BMTning SDG7 — Barqaror
energiya maqsadlari bilan hamohang bo‘lib, global miqyosda barqaror energetika siyosatini shakllantirishga xizmat qiladi
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