HUDUDIY IQTISODIY O‘SISHNI EKONOMETRIK MODELLASHTIRISH USULLARINI TAKOMILLASHTIRISH
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20465384Ключевые слова:
iqtisodiy o‘sish, inflyatsiya, YaHM, chiziqsiz bog‘liqlik, kvadratik model, endogenlik, instrumental o‘zgaruvchilar, lag effekti, multikollinearlik, modelni optimallashtirishАннотация
Ushbu maqolada iqtisodiy o‘sish sur’atlari va inflyatsiya darajasi o‘rtasidagi makroiqtisodiy bog‘liqlikni
hududiy miqyosda modellashtirish masalalari tadqiq etilgan. Maqolada an’anaviy chiziqli regressiya modellarining
cheklovlari tahlil qilinib, inflyatsiyaning iqtisodiy o‘sishga chiziqsiz, ya’ni parabolik ta’sir ko‘rsatish xususiyatlari tahlil
qilingan. Modelga odatdagi omillardan tashqari lag hamda boshqa o‘zgaruvchilar kiritilishi asoslangan. Maqola yakunida
tarkibiy determinantlar, ixcham nazorat vektorlari va instrumental o‘zgaruvchilarni o‘z ichiga olgan, multikollinearlik
yumshatilgan, optimallashtirilgan yakuniy model ishlab chiqilgan. Takomillashtirilgan ushbu model hududiy iqtisodiy
islohotlarni rejalashtirishda yuqori aniqlikdagi prognozlarni shakllantirish imkonini beradi
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