Forecasting and mitigating risks in international projects based on financial management principles

Forecasting and mitigating risks in international projects based on financial management principles

Авторы

  • Saodat Oripova

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15654965

Ключевые слова:

This article explores the challenges of managing financial risks in international projects. It focuses on identifying, evaluating, and forecasting these risks using modern financial management approaches. Particular attention is given to risk forecasting techniques such as Monte Carlo simulation, scenario analysis, and sensitivity analysis. The study also highlights strategies for mitigating risks, including hedging, diversification, insurance, and financial monitoring. By analyzing international practices and case studies from Uzbekistan, the paper proposes practical recommendations to address existing issues. The findings aim to enhance the effectiveness of risk anticipation and management in international financial project implementation.

Аннотация

This article explores the challenges of managing financial risks in international projects. It focuses on identifying,
evaluating, and forecasting these risks using modern financial management approaches. Particular attention is given
to risk forecasting techniques such as Monte Carlo simulation, scenario analysis, and sensitivity analysis. The study
also highlights strategies for mitigating risks, including hedging, diversification, insurance, and financial monitoring. By
analyzing international practices and case studies from Uzbekistan, the paper proposes practical recommendations to
address existing issues. The findings aim to enhance the effectiveness of risk anticipation and management in international
financial project implementation.

Биография автора

Saodat Oripova


Master of the Bank-Finance Academy
of the Republic of Uzbekistan

Библиографические ссылки

Aven, T. (2016). Risk assessment and risk management: Review of recent advances on their foundation. Safety

Science, 85, 111–117.

Ghosh, D., & Ghosh, M. (2020). Financial Management for Development Projects. Springer.

World Bank. (2023). Country Partnership Framework for Uzbekistan 2022–2026. https://www.worldbank.org

UNDP Uzbekistan. (2023). Annual Development Programme Report. Tashkent: UNDP.

Project Management Institute. (2017). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide). 6th

ed. Newtown Square, PA.

Vose, D. (2008). Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide. 3rd ed. Wiley.

Chapman, C., & Ward, S. (2003). Project Risk Management: Processes, Techniques and Insights. Wiley.

IMF. (2022). Exchange Rate Risk and Emerging Market Exposure. IMF Working Paper.

Asian Development Bank. (2022). Country Operations Business Plan: Uzbekistan. Manila: ADB.

Deloitte. (2023). Global Risk Management Survey. 12th Edition. https://www2.deloitte.com

Khudoyberganov, S. (2022). Loyihalarda moliyaviy monitoring va tahlil. T.: Iqtisodiyot.

Damodaran, A. (2007). Strategic Risk Taking: A Framework for Risk Management. Pearson Education.

Hillson, D. (2009). Managing Risk in Projects. Farnham, UK: Gower Publishing.

OECD. (2021). Managing Project Risks in Emerging Markets. Paris: OECD Publishing.

ISO. (2018). ISO 31000: Risk Management – Guidelines. Geneva: International Organization for Standardization

Загрузки

Опубликован

2025-05-01

Как цитировать

Oripova , S. (2025). Forecasting and mitigating risks in international projects based on financial management principles. ЗЕЛЁНАЯ ЭКОНОМИКА И РАЗВИТИЕ, 3(5). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15654965
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