O‘ZBEKISTON TURIZM INDUSTRIYASI RIVOJLANISHIDA FORSAYT TEXNOLOGIYALARINI QO‘LLASH
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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18605209##semicolon##
forsayt texnologiyalari; turizm industriyasi; strategik boshqaruv; ssenariy modellashtirish; iqtisodiy samaradorlik; O‘zbekiston##article.abstract##
Mazkur ilmiy maqolada O‘zbekiston turizm industriyasining hozirgi rivojlanish sharoitida forsayt texnologiyalarini
qo‘llashning zarurati va ahamiyati asoslab beriladi. Tadqiqotning dolzarbligi global noaniqliklar, raqamli transformatsiya
va turizm bozoridagi tezkor strukturaviy o‘zgarishlar sharoitida an’anaviy rejalashtirish yondashuvlarining cheklanganligi
bilan izohlanadi. Mavjud ilmiy adabiyotlar tahlili turizm sohasida forsayt texnologiyalarini, ayniqsa rivojlanayotgan
mamlakatlar kontekstida, kompleks strategik boshqaruv modeli sifatida tadqiq etish yetarli darajada yoritilmaganini
ko‘rsatdi va ushbu bilim bo‘shlig‘i aniqlashtirildi. Tadqiqotda sifat va miqdoriy usullar uyg‘unligiga asoslangan metodologiya
qo‘llanilib, zaif signallar tahlili, Delphi ekspert baholashi, ssenariy modellashtirish hamda iqtisodiy modellashtirish orqali
O‘zbekiston turizm industriyasining muqobil rivojlanish yo‘nalishlari baholandi. Olingan natijalar forsaytga asoslangan
strategik yondashuv investitsiya risklarini kamaytirish, resurslardan foydalanish samaradorligini oshirish va turizmning
milliy iqtisodiyotga multiplikativ ta’sirini kuchaytirish imkonini berishini ko‘rsatdi. Tadqiqot xulosalari davlat turizm siyosatini
takomillashtirish, hududiy turistik klasterlarni rivojlantirish va uzoq muddatli strategik qarorlar qabul qilishda ilmiy-amaliy
ahamiyatga ega bo‘lib, kelgusida forsayt texnologiyalarini hududlar va alohida turizm segmentlari kesimida chuqurroq
tadqiq etish zarurligini asoslaydi.
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