SURXONDARYO VILOYATIDA ULGURJI SAVDO HAJMI KO‘RSATKICHLARINI ARIMA MODELI YORDAMIDA PROGNOZLASHTIRISH

Sohiba Turopova

doi:10.5281/zenodo.18628916

SURXONDARYO VILOYATIDA ULGURJI SAVDO HAJMI KO‘RSATKICHLARINI ARIMA MODELI YORDAMIDA PROGNOZLASHTIRISH

##article.authors##

Sohiba Turopova

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https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18628916

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ulgurji savdo, vaqt qatorlari, ARIMA modeli, prognozlash, statsionarlik, Dikkey–Fuller testi, iqtisodiy tahlil, Surxondaryo viloyati

##article.abstract##

Mazkur maqolada Surxondaryo viloyatida ulgurji savdo hajmining vaqt bo‘yicha o‘zgarishi hamda uni
prognozlash masalalari tahlil qilingan. Tadqiqotda 2010–2024-yillar ma’lumotlari asosida vaqt qatorlari tahlili amalga
oshirilib, ARIMA modeli yordamida iqtisodiy ko‘rsatkichlarning kelgusi davr uchun prognoz qiymatlari aniqlangan. Vaqt
qatorining statsionarligi kengaytirilgan Dikkey–Fuller testi orqali tekshirildi va mos ARIMA(2,2,0) modeli tanlandi. Olingan
natijalar 2025–2028-yillar uchun ulgurji savdo hajmining barqaror o‘sish tendensiyasini ko‘rsatadi. Tadqiqot natijalari
hududiy savdo tizimini rivojlantirish va iqtisodiy rejalashtirish jarayonlarida muhim amaliy ahamiyat kasb etadi.

##submission.authorBiography##

Sohiba Turopova

Termiz davlat universiteti, mustaqil izlanuvchisi

##submission.citations##

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SURXONDARYO VILOYATIDA ULGURJI SAVDO HAJMI KO‘RSATKICHLARINI ARIMA MODELI YORDAMIDA PROGNOZLASHTIRISH

SURXONDARYO VILOYATIDA ULGURJI SAVDO HAJMI KO‘RSATKICHLARINI ARIMA MODELI YORDAMIDA PROGNOZLASHTIRISH

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Sohiba Turopova

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